Wages # 13 – Tinbergen Norm

 

Jan Tinbergen (April 12, 1903 – June 9, 1994) was a Dutch economist. He was awarded the first Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel in 1969, which he shared with Ragnar Frisch for having developed and applied dynamic models for the analysis of economic processes. Tinbergen was a founding trustee of Economists for Peace and Security.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jan_Tinbergen

Clearly we will need to investigate this guys concept of economic models, however for this post I would like to focus on his one theory that he appears well known for.

Jan Tinbergen’s claim to fame was the theory of “Tinbergen Norm” which explores the fact that if in a company the difference between the lowest and highest income exceeds a rate of 1:5 then the company will incur a loss.

Based upon this ratio we are certainly way out of control with executive salaries and compensation, as indicated by this report.

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/may/02/business/la-fi-mo-us-ceo-pay-231-times-more-than-average-workers-20120502

The average U.S. chief executive earned more than $11 million last year in salary, stock options and other compensation, according to a new analysis by the Economic Policy Institute. That’s about 231 times more, on average, than workers.

That ratio has shrunk a bit since the height of the dot.com bubble, when a ballooning stock market inflated CEO compensation to 411 times that of working stiffs.

And it’s smaller than the pay gap calculated recently by the AFL-CIO, the umbrella federation of unions representing about 12 million U.S. workers. Their analysis concluded that the typical CEO of an S&P 500 Index company made 380 times the average wages of U.S. workers in 2011.

So no matter whose numbers you use that is alot of profit not going to shareholders and average workers.

So what is the solution to all of this ?

 

 

Bonds vs Gold #3 – The Growing Shortage of Safe Assets

 

Safe assets are in short supply according to both the BIS and IMF.

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2012/POL041112A.htm

With sovereign debt becoming riskier, as every year passes, some new safe asset has to exist to begin taking up the slack.  Some believe this new safe asset will be gold or at least will include gold.

http://canadanewslibre.com/2012/06/27/highest-financial-authority-to-reclassify-gold-as-risk-free-asset/

Now this BIS report suggests that an unofficial way of making gold a Tier 1 asset is to make it an optional Tier 1 asset !!!!  Note the footnote !  That certainly is a way to downplay gold as a safe asset but still making it a safe asset !

http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128b.pdf

Footnote 32  However, at national discretion, gold bullion held in own vaults or on an allocated basis to the extent backed by bullion liabilities can be treated as cash and therefore risk-weighted at 0%.

Finally this next report also clearly lists gold among the list of safe assets but when it comes to recommendations on supply and demand of safe assets no mention is made of increasing gold as a safe asset allocation or the fact that its price needs to go up if it becomes a more widely held safe asset.  Is this paper therefore recognizing gold as a safe asset but at the same time trying to reduce the focus on gold as a safe asset ?

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2012/01/pdf/c3.pdf