Bonds vs Gold #3 – The Growing Shortage of Safe Assets

 

Safe assets are in short supply according to both the BIS and IMF.

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2012/POL041112A.htm

With sovereign debt becoming riskier, as every year passes, some new safe asset has to exist to begin taking up the slack.  Some believe this new safe asset will be gold or at least will include gold.

http://canadanewslibre.com/2012/06/27/highest-financial-authority-to-reclassify-gold-as-risk-free-asset/

Now this BIS report suggests that an unofficial way of making gold a Tier 1 asset is to make it an optional Tier 1 asset !!!!  Note the footnote !  That certainly is a way to downplay gold as a safe asset but still making it a safe asset !

http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs128b.pdf

Footnote 32  However, at national discretion, gold bullion held in own vaults or on an allocated basis to the extent backed by bullion liabilities can be treated as cash and therefore risk-weighted at 0%.

Finally this next report also clearly lists gold among the list of safe assets but when it comes to recommendations on supply and demand of safe assets no mention is made of increasing gold as a safe asset allocation or the fact that its price needs to go up if it becomes a more widely held safe asset.  Is this paper therefore recognizing gold as a safe asset but at the same time trying to reduce the focus on gold as a safe asset ?

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2012/01/pdf/c3.pdf

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  • Bigcollapso

    In any historical monetary system failure, precious metal was how wealth was preserved. But the coming collapses and the end of un-backed fiat currencies is very different.
    Post Industrial man will find himself short on being able to control the first and second derivative of “S”. This is a problem that he has never faced. There is a very real probability that Gold could become worthless.

    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

       Every cloud has a silver lining ………. We will be able to go into jewelry shops and chose some nice pieces for nothing~!

      • Bigcollapso

        I never know when you are joking. You do point out the absurdity sometimes. Thanks Mystic

        • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

           My pleasure, Mr. Collapso ….. I’m here to help.

  • joebhed

    Yay for gold!.
    Too bad for the banking system and economy.
    Yeah, it IS because there’s a shortage of safe assets….
    And those B-III capital standards (stilll a few years from implementation) are supposed to do ‘something’ about preventing banks runs and financial collapse.
    SOOOO, a bank has (theoretically unencumbered) bullion vaulted – its loan losses compel failure -  Please, WTF good does a bunch of gold in the vault do for anyone or anything?
    Compared for instance to the same amount of government securities?
    So, yes, things are getting NOTICEABLY more dicey.
    Yay for gold!

    • Bigcollapso

      A lot of people intuitively know that Gold may not hold its value either. They usually say “You can’t eat it”
      They are correct. The problem is more general than that, but it is the tip of the iceberg.

    • CSArichardo

      We will know the direction of gold in the days ahead but trading appears to be set up for accepting it as a currency as opposed to dumping it for US dollars.

      28 Aug – unallocated gold will be accepted as collateral for margin cover purposes by LCH-Clearnet .

      31 Aug – Shanghai Gold Exchange, which is the world’s biggest marketplace for spot gold trading, and the China Foreign Exchange Trading System, a central bank subsidiary that oversees onshore currency trading.. launch the interbank trading starting with gold contracts.  That would make gold the first commodity to trade on the interbank market.
      http://www.zerohedge.com/news/china-aims-be-major-gold-trading-center-interbank-gold-trading

  • CSArichardo

    I guess we should take the advice of the banksters.  Gold can be a Tier 1, if you like, but why would you when there is plenty of great treasury bills out there that have millions of citizens enslaved to pay it all off ?

    • CSArichardo

      The LCH-Clearnet just announced that as of August 28th, unallocated gold will be accepted as collateral for margin cover purposes. This now means all the major exchanges accept worthless barbarous relics as collateral – as well as worthless fiat paper ‘money’.

      http://www.zerohedge.com/news/gold-money-lch-accepts-shiny-yellow-metal-collateral

      • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

        `Unallocated` gold …… Isn’t that the `paper` gold~?

        • CSArichardo

          I think we are going to find that this statement below is going to no longer be true, because  unallocated gold is now considered a form of cash ? 

              4. Unfortunately your unallocated gold would be ditched if the bank were in need of cash.

          I might be wrong on that but the following is a good read on the subject.

          http://gold.bullionvault.com/How/UnallocatedGold