Keen meets MMT

I’ll throw this video in here, because it brings together Steve Keen and the MMT crowd (Stephanie Kelton and Scot Fullwiler referred to in Keen’s intro).

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  • snedmeister1

    Morning Nick…!!

    Excellent…. :)
    I have a `to do` list this morning…. Given to me at sunrise by misses Sned….:(
    I have just penciled this video on the bottom, as a `must`…!!! :)

    I am sure there will be a few questions afterward too…!!??

  • windslice

    That is massively frustrating.

    Keen, as ever, rushes along but the audio quality is poor, so I was spending more time trying to work out the words rather than follow the flow.

    And none of the slides were readable.

    Pity he didn’t do it with better quality.

    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

      He will put up a better copy on his website, when he can.
      http://www.debtdeflation.com/blogs/

      (and yes, this is impossible for anyone who is not up to speed with Keen and MMT)

      • snedmeister1

        I had a little peek for Stephanie’s video, too….

        I couldn’t find the video of her, do you know who Stephanie is…???

        ( I haven’t really followed Scott or the MMT crowd, for over a year ( I would guess ))

        • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

           Re Linda below …. and you will remember her from here – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fUv6noW1krU

          • snedmeister1

            Ah, thanks…

            I’m going to have to pencil that one on the bottom of tomorrows `To-do` list…!!!

            I need a fresh head to digest any more today…:)

          • snedmeister1

            I remember her now….

            Yes, “the Gov’t deficit is the private sectors asset”, Stephanie….:)

            An important fact to remember for those who call for the deficit to be paid back..!!! 

  • snedmeister1

    Ok, I have managed to get to the end of the presentation, where the questions and answers are about to start at 1hr….

    Oddly, I don’t think I have many questions, but I did hear one very important piece…

    Keen was referring to deficits funded through bond issuance, and was talking in a way which indicated bond sales preceding the spending….

    That didn’t surprise me, but Scott not saying something at that point did…. 

    I need a little break at the moment, and I will return to the vid in a bit, to listen to the rest…

    Any thoughts so far, anyone..??

    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

       I was happy at about 50 mins when he was talking of double entry book-keeping accounting for loaning from reserves.  I got to three entries and said it did not make sense …… and SK has shown where the fourth entry is (which makes it balance, but still shows that loaning out of reserves is not logical).

      If you are feeling up to it …… The Fulwiller presentation -
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=XsKqgTItYWU

  • lgrinaker

    I will mark this (and Scott’s) as a definite “to do” as well.  Thanks, Mystic.

    Linda

  • lgrinaker

    And for a Stephanie Kelton “placeholder” until Keen posts her contribution (he’s posting over a few days), here’s a layperson’s presentation by Stephanie Kelton (from last October).  (I’ll be curious to hear what she has to say as part of Keen’s gathering, and how she sees what they have in common as these folks work on “building a school of thought” from different angles.)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SlSBA6Pn-Hc&feature=related

    Linda

    • http://www.alda-architects.co.uk/ Alan

       Takes a long time, but couldn’t disagree. Like the payroll tax holiday! Wonder in the current situation if it would work or would people simply reduce their loans. Certainly agree that it is governments that need to lead and create employment in infrastructure etc.

      • lgrinaker

        Hi, Alan.

        I think the part of people reducing their loans is part of what such a remedy would be after.  That brings up Koo’s thoughts on what’s needed during a “balance sheet recession.”  Households (along with whatever other sector may need to do so as well) need to unwind their debt, which is a big part of why demand is going down so significantly.  And households will do so to the extent they can, even if it’s in a very small amount at a time.  With the govt. allowing for more deficits during such a time, debt unwinding can happen more easily, which allows us, at some point (sooner rather than later) to begin to spend more easily.  (or something like that, ;-))

        Linda

        • http://www.alda-architects.co.uk/ Alan

           Linda, thanks of course you are right on that. Leads to growth through demand further down the line when liabilities are reduced  whilst government steps in now with capital projects, or similar, to kick start the recovery process now.

          The logic of Wilkins Micawber does not apply to governments.

  • lgrinaker

    (Off topic, but I couldn’t resist, especially after receiving yet another email blast on this sunny Saturday morning from some random Health Care Act hater):

    From Jon Stewart and The Daily Show on the Supreme Court decision regarding the Health Care Act (you know, for a more balanced perspective, ;-):

    http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/thu-june-28-2012/roberts–rules-of-order?xrs=playershare_fb

    Linda

    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

       Thanks Linda,
      ………So, does that mean your op was not a free lunch~!?

      • lgrinaker

        Oh, man, what I wouldn’t give to pass along the “free lunch” I just had (at $4000 and monthly premiums – but affordable ones compared to non-existent ones before!) to these a*****s, and pass along, while I’m at it, a heaping portion of the “free lunch” you just received as well…

        What a world.  Yeah, Europe may be behind what the U.S. has (although most in the U.S. would never know it) as far as our monetary structure via our national/state structure, and are facing wrenching problems in taking steps towards it; but I think we’re facing something similar in relation to trying to make our way towards what Europe has long had as far as healthcare.  For us and healthcare, things may not work very well with it (the first halting, awkward step towards it), but things don’t work without it either, not anymore. 

        Employers just can’t do what they once did here – we depended so heavily on employers for our healthcare benefits as an overall part of employee compensation, and a bit of a safety net beyond them for those after retirement or the very poor; that’s not the case now (employers can no longer afford it, not nearly to the extent they once could; too much has changed globally and domestically; and this doesn’t take into account the general economic downturn and the fact that employers can afford fewer and fewer employees period, much less their benefits), nor will it likely ever be the case again.

        Linda

        • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

           If you extrapolate out the health-care insurance premiums for the US, it soon runs out to very silly numbers.
          Sitting in the river, I can’t see, down the river, how the premiums could get far out-of-whack with everything else.
          So, either the premiums will not get silly, or all prices will get silly.
          You chose~!

          (by the way, I just got reimbursed for the 200 I paid)

          • lgrinaker

            Oh my god – you damned socialist/commie/free-loader when in dire need of care! 

            (Wait… And how much did you say the total bill was?… something like $18,000, including the chaps/ladies who did the work vs. the same kind of event happening here for at least $50,000 or more – $70,000 for mass removal, yes?  Ummm… but shouldn’t there be runaway costs when handled by government vs. unregulated private enterprise???  – and all goes silent as this person’s brain wraps in on itself.)

            Linda

            • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

               I am only just starting to understand what they want to give me.
              Because it was a serious thing that I had, they say they will pay 100% of all medical/dental/optical/ don’t know what the word is for bone/muscle bending etc. etc. etc. until July 2017 (when it will be up for review to be renewed).
              I think it is jolly nice of them and wish there was someone I could write to, to thank them for their consideration. 

              The thing is, they have been doing this sort of thing for 60 years now.  They know how to do it.  It is only unaffordable, because the economy has gone all shitty.
              They (the people of France) are very proud of their system~!

          • lgrinaker

            I need to – well, all Americans need to, really - look into how things are going in Massachussetts, where “Romneycare” has been up and running for awhile (and apparently rather successfully).

            I’m curious to see how it further adapts and changes over time, how they find their way with healthcare costs over time, etc.

            Linda

            • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

               It surely has to fall, more and more, on the government tab~!?

            • Randall

              From here in Massachusetts, I am healthy with no hospital stay for illness ever required.  Insurance premiums for me have gone up 23% since mandatory insurance was enacted.  The State Tax “Penalty” is $1200 for not having insurance.  I recently took a blind neighbor man to his first follow-up from his recent bypass surgery.  The visit was an 8hr ordeal due to number of people being cared for.  He only needed an x-ray and follow-up Dr Consultation.  He did have appointment!  The x-ray could only be taken in the ER and it was packed with people waiting all day for various non-life threatening things.  I strolled around discussing the wait time with staff and it was said to be the norm. While there were Doctors and Nurses on the ER floor, few were actively engaged (other than asking the routine health questions) and most nurses were just sitting behind computer screens for hours.  If I were a paying customer, I would have walked out to find a better managed facility.  There was no management accountability among any of the staff.  If this healthcare change in Massachusetts is any indication, national healthcare is going to be a “FAIL”.

              • lgrinaker

                Ah, so there is propaganda going both ways.  For, of course, that’s not what we’ve been hearing about.  We’ve been hearing about polls that show a growing majority in Mass. that are favorable toward it.

                That does sound awful.  I know I wouldn’t want to wait 8 hours for a routine follow-up.  And this isn’t a *new* program in Mass. any longer.  Do the people of Mass. have anything to say about it?  Are there people running to repeal it/change it in the event that the dissatisfaction grows to the level of a public outcry? 

                Do you think it’s new enough that there hasn’t yet been enough time to ramp up the services well enough, or to any further degree?  Or do you think that will be it?

                The only thing I’m curious about from your statement beyond the above is about the man who had the bypass surgery.  What was that experience like for him?  (I gather from the description above, it wasn’t pleasant - above and beyond the difficulties of the heart problem and surgery itself, of course, which would be challenging whatever else might be the case.)  What about his payments before and afterwards (perhaps like you, before his surgery, the insurance premiums he was paying before the new program were less than they were after the new law came into effect; but I’m guessing they didn’t go up any further after the surgery, or did they?  and what about his out-of-pocket expenses for both medical services and prescriptions?).

                Now, of course, because you’ve never had a hospital stay in the past does not mean you’ll never need one going forward.  I was very healthy for most of my life, rarely ever sick, before I caught the flu – there had been an unusually high outbreak that year where I lived - that went on to permanently damage my lungs a few years back.  I did have insurance back then, fortunately, for I had surgery, I was 3 weeks in intensive care, and then a while longer in a regular bed.  That too would have ruined me and my family financially if I had not had insurance.  But even if that were the case for you, if you needed some sort of catastrophic care in the future, it may well be that the insurance you already had, and at a lower premium would have covered that well. (I’d be curious about what your deductibles and overall out-of-pocket for care and meds would be in such a situation vs. your previous level of insurance. For although the new act does not, so far, specifically regulate premiums, which is frightening – I imagine they are hoping the competition within the exchanges will help with that, but it is frightening, nonetheless – it *will* be putting caps on deductibles and out-of-pocket yearly and life expenses for services and meds.)

                Of course, if we were to go to something like an all around extension of Medicare, more would be taken out of people’s income, but in a different way (yet there would be a lot less costs for administration; there would be much less as far as advertising; they could likely work with costs much better, etc., but there would still be more that many folks would have to pay than would be the case before).

                I would think that the people of Massachussetts would be some of the first go-to people to ask what… if we were to attempt to move to universal healthcare in this country, what would the people of your state suggest as the best way to get there, if to try to get there at all, with the understanding that more and more people in this country are going without access to affordable healthcare?

                Thank you, Randall.  That was helpful.  There’s so much propaganda going around these days on both sides of the issue (all smiles from the Democrats about what’s going on in Massachussetts, for example), that it’s very hard to get a real sense of anything. But without that, how can we intelligently go forward, regardless of what we ultimately decide to do?

                Linda

                • lgrinaker

                  Of course, personally, I’d like to bring the insights of MMT (and others) into the equation, which would allow for some new policy possibilities when looking at an issue such as healthcare.  But, unfortunately, I don’t see that as possible at this time, although I know these folks are making the effort to bring such a perspective more into the public forum.  Perhaps some day.

                  Until then, the questions of how to pay for such huge challenges without going broke remain for us (either on an individual level – if we do nothing to change our current structure, or run into problems working this out through private insurance companies; or on a local/national govt. level – if we go forward with something).

                  Linda

                  • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

                     But, where’s the money gonna come from~!?

                    • lgrinaker

                      Exactly.  That’s the nexus at which the mighty struggle in the U.S. is occurring at this time.  We have an ever-growing fear of a “breaking the bank” of our nation on the one hand.  (Interestingly, both Republicans and Democrats fear that, or at least all believe that to be an issue that will have to be faced ultimately.) And on the other hand, we have a current structure that is able to handle access to affordable healthcare for less and less individuals (with the risk of a tremendous financial burden for those individuals and families in the event something happens without being insured).

                      And, of course, other than Medicare and Medicaid (which are more for what has been the margins of our society – seniors and the very poor – rather than for the majority of the working age, family raising portions of it), we, in this nation, are just not familiar with govt. involvement along these lines, not for our healthcare (and, of course, we are not prepared well at all for how to handle the infrastructure/logistics of it, etc.).  And there is clearly a mighty “libertarian” streak among Americans, at least some strong strands of it.

                      And, further, as we are pretty familiar with here at OTP, ;-), this is just one of several very significant and growing challenges facing individuals and governments here in the U.S. in the near and fairly near future…

                      Linda

                    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

                       Godddddammm …… It is hard enough getting the money together to get re-elected, without having to bother about these sorta `details`. 

                      Face it, there is no one really running your country …… (well, maybe a few thousand lobbyists~!?)

                    • lgrinaker

                      (sad chuckling) Indeed… ;-).

                      Linda

                • Randall

                   Hiya Linda, the sad state of Medical in Massachusetts is not told in the media.  Insurance companies (HMO) plans all raised rates in anticipation of mandatory coverage.  There is a big wasteful State Plan that covers all who do not have employer plans if you are non-income qualified.  People who earn income are required to have insurance or pay the tax “penalty”.   I tried for an appointment for a routine physical and the wait time is 3 months.  Prior to State Mandate I can say with confidence there was less wait time for appointment.  I wish there were more discussion about this.  I will ask some health professionals I have acquaintance and try to get their opinion and reply back (OT-off topic) to you.    

  • lgrinaker

    I’ve tried to make it through the Keen presentation as well, and I, too, am having trouble – just as far as making out a lot of what he’s saying (not that I wouldn’t miss a fair portion of what he’s saying anyway via my lack of understanding among these scholars talking to one another, but I would have liked to try to gleen what I can, nonetheless; just not to be on that one). 

    But I greatly appreciate learning of this event and these efforts to “build a school of thought” together from these folks.  And I’m looking forward to what comes from this. 

    And now, I’ll turn to the featured video on Keen’s youtube channel, which looks like it might be much of the same presentation he was giving above (but without the further discussion with the MMT folks and their efforts to work together).   But at least it’s a good start for me and will, I hope, better prepare me for what comes from the joint effort highlighted above.

    Linda

    • http://overthepeak.com/wordpress/ Mystic

       SK says it will be at least a week before his version of the talk will be up on his site.
      It will be the one he was setting his laptop up for, so we will get a good look at the charts.
      I will keep you posted.

      But yes, people actually talking to each other …… whatever next~!?